This Weekend: Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri and Illinois See 0.5” to 1.5” Rainfall While Alabama, Georgia and Florida Stay Mostly Dry Under High Pressure
UNITED STATES — A strong weather divide is setting up this weekend, with active storm systems bringing measurable rainfall from Texas through the Midwest, while much of the Southeast remains dry under dominant high pressure. The latest rainfall outlook shows a clear west-to-east transition from wetter conditions to near-zero precipitation across the southern states.
Storm Corridor Sets Up From Texas Into the Midwest
The heaviest rainfall is expected across a corridor stretching from:
- Texas into Oklahoma
- Arkansas and Missouri
- Extending north into Illinois and parts of the Midwest
Rainfall totals in this zone are generally expected between 0.5” to 1.5”, with localized areas possibly exceeding that range where storms track repeatedly.
This activity is being driven by moisture flowing north from the Gulf, interacting with a dipping jet stream across the central U.S.
Multiple Rounds of Storms Expected
The pattern supports several active rounds of showers and thunderstorms, especially from Texas into Missouri.
These storms will not be constant but will move through in waves, leading to periods of rainfall followed by breaks in between.
Sharp Drop-Off in Rainfall Toward the Southeast
Moving east into Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, and Florida, rainfall totals drop off significantly.
Most of these areas are forecast to receive:
- Near 0.0” to 0.1” rainfall
- Many locations likely staying completely dry through the weekend
This highlights a strong boundary between active weather to the west and stable conditions to the east.
High Pressure Keeps Southeast Dry and Warm
A large area of high pressure over the Southeast is blocking storm systems from moving into the region.
This setup will bring:
- Plenty of sunshine
- Warming temperatures
- Very limited rain chances
Conditions across the Southeast will remain quiet and stable throughout the weekend.
Overall Pattern Shows Strong Contrast Across Regions
The overall weather pattern clearly shows a split setup, with:
- Stormy, wet conditions across the central U.S.
- Dry, warm weather across the Southeast
This contrast is expected to continue through the weekend as the storm track remains focused west of the Mississippi River. Stay with NapervilleLocal.com for the latest weather updates and local forecast coverage.

Naperville is a community with stories that deserve to be told — both the serious ones about safety and justice, and the lighter ones that capture our culture and daily life. I focus on covering crime reports and court updates while also highlighting the traditions, events, and social trends that shape who we are. Through my reporting, I want to give readers a fuller picture of Naperville — the challenges we face and the character that keeps our city strong.