Severe Weather Threat Expands Across Oklahoma and North Texas on March 4 as Slow-Moving Upper Low Raises Wind, Hail and Possible Tornado Concerns
UNITED STATES — A new severe weather system is taking shape for Wednesday, March 4, as a slow-moving upper-level low approaches the Southern Plains, prompting early risk highlights across Oklahoma and Texas.
The Storm Prediction Center has already outlined a risk area spanning much of central and eastern Oklahoma into North Texas, signaling the next round of potentially impactful weather.
Risk Area Centers on Oklahoma and North Texas
The highlighted zone includes major cities such as:
- Oklahoma City
- Tulsa
- Lawton
- Wichita Falls
- Dallas
- Denton
- Graham
- McAlester
- Paris, Texas
The projected risk area stretches from central Oklahoma southward into the Dallas–Fort Worth Metroplex and east toward the Red River region.
Primary Threat: Damaging Winds and Large Hail
At this time, the primary hazards appear to be:
- Damaging straight-line winds
- Large hail
Strong upper-level dynamics combined with increasing instability across the region could support organized thunderstorms capable of producing significant wind gusts and hail.
Tornado Risk Could Develop
While wind and hail currently appear to be the dominant threats, forecasters caution that a tornado risk may evolve depending on how atmospheric ingredients align.
As the upper low moves in and surface boundaries sharpen, localized rotation within storms cannot be ruled out.
Beginning of an Active Stretch?
This system may signal the start of a more active severe weather pattern across the Southern Plains and Middle South.
With early March climatology favoring increasing instability and stronger storm systems, additional severe setups could follow in the coming weeks.
What to Watch
Residents across Oklahoma and North Texas should monitor:
- Updated outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center
- Changes in the tornado risk probabilities
- Timing of storms on Wednesday
- Potential expansion of the risk area
Preparation is key, especially during early-season severe weather events when storms can intensify quickly.
For continued national severe weather updates and regional forecasts, stay connected with NapervilleLocal.com.

I’ve lived in Naperville long enough to see how quickly our community changes — from new developments downtown to sudden shifts in our Midwest weather. Reporting on Naperville news and daily forecasts gives me the chance to keep neighbors informed about what really matters. My goal is simple: deliver clear, timely updates so you always know what’s happening in our city and what to expect from the skies above.