Southern States Face Unusual Warmth for Christmas Day 2025, With High Odds of 70° Across Florida, Georgia, Alabama and the Carolinas
NORTH CAROLINA — New long-range weather projections show that much of the southern United States may experience unseasonably warm temperatures on Christmas Day 2025, with some areas having a strong probability of reaching 70 degrees or higher. The updated ECMWF model highlights a widespread warm pattern stretching from Florida to Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and parts of the Carolinas.
Charlotte Expected to Stay Closer to 60°, With Very Low Odds of 70°
The data indicates that while 70° temperatures are unlikely in the Charlotte region, a mild Christmas in the upper 50s to low 60s is far more probable. Historically, Charlotte has reached 70° on Christmas more often than it has seen measurable snow, and this year appears to follow the same trend.
Strong 70° Chances Across the Gulf Coast and Florida
The highest probabilities of a 70-degree Christmas appear in:
- Central and South Florida — near or above 90% probability
- Coastal Alabama and Mississippi
- Southern Georgia
- Southeast Louisiana
- The Florida Panhandle
The ECMWF map shows deep red shading along these regions, representing the strongest warm-weather signal for December 25.
Moderate Warmth Likely for South Carolina and Northern Georgia
Northern regions of Georgia and the Carolinas show lower probabilities, but still lean warmer than normal. Light blue and green shading over these areas indicate 20–40% chances of reaching 70°, with higher confidence in temperatures staying in the 60s.
Snow Chances Remain Practically Zero
Based on the provided data, no region in the Carolinas, Georgia, or the Deep South shows signs of Christmas snowfall. Instead, atmospheric patterns strongly favor warm, stable conditions leading into the holiday.
A Warm Holiday Pattern Across the Southeast
Meteorologists note that this setup continues a recent trend of milder Christmas Days across the Southeast, driven by warm southerly flow and a lack of Arctic air intrusions.
NapervilleLocal.com will continue tracking national Christmas weather trends as updated data becomes available.
I’ve lived in Naperville long enough to see how quickly our community changes — from new developments downtown to sudden shifts in our Midwest weather. Reporting on Naperville news and daily forecasts gives me the chance to keep neighbors informed about what really matters. My goal is simple: deliver clear, timely updates so you always know what’s happening in our city and what to expect from the skies above.