Mid-Atlantic Winter Forecast: Will Pennsylvania or New Jersey See Early Snow Before Thanksgiving?
HARRISBURG, PENNSYLVANIA — The Mid-Atlantic region appears set to enjoy a mild and mostly snow-free November, according to the latest forecast from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC).
The outlook, issued on October 24, 2025, suggests that Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Maryland will experience above-average temperatures and limited precipitation through much of the month, keeping early-season snow chances low ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday.
Warm Pattern Dominates November Forecast
Forecasters say that residents from Philadelphia to Baltimore are likely to see pleasant fall weather continue, with daytime highs trending several degrees above normal. Precipitation levels are also expected to remain near or below average, reducing the likelihood of early snow events.
“The overall setup favors mild, dry conditions across the Mid-Atlantic through mid-November,” said NOAA meteorologists. “While brief cold fronts may arrive later, sustained winter weather isn’t expected yet.”
Late-Month Cold Front Could Bring Flurries
Meteorologists note that a few late-November cold fronts could sweep south from the Great Lakes, introducing short bursts of chilly rain or light mountaintop snow in central Pennsylvania around Thanksgiving week. However, no major winter storms are currently forecast.
The pattern can shift rapidly as winter nears, but for now, the Thanksgiving outlook across the Mid-Atlantic leans toward mild, travel-friendly conditions — ideal for road trips and outdoor holiday plans.
Residents hoping for a white Thanksgiving may need to wait until December, when colder air is expected to settle more firmly over the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states.
Stay informed with updated regional weather forecasts and travel alerts at NapervilleLocal.com.

I’ve lived in Naperville long enough to see how quickly our community changes — from new developments downtown to sudden shifts in our Midwest weather. Reporting on Naperville news and daily forecasts gives me the chance to keep neighbors informed about what really matters. My goal is simple: deliver clear, timely updates so you always know what’s happening in our city and what to expect from the skies above.