EASTERN UNITED STATES — Deep soil moisture levels measured from the surface down to 79 inches are running well below average across a vast stretch of the eastern United States, revealing the root cause behind why current drought conditions have become so severe. The deficit is so significant that even well established plants with deep…
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS — Significant severe weather is expected today with the worst of the threat centered just west of Arkansas in eastern Oklahoma, where extremely large hail reaching baseball size or bigger, damaging winds, and tornadoes are all likely. Depending on where storms initiate and track this afternoon, the threat could push…
CENTRAL KANSAS — The active severe weather pattern continues into April 25, 2026, with the threat shifting north and focusing on central Kansas, where intense supercells capable of producing strong tornadoes and very large hail are expected. The core of the most significant risk carries a Level 3 designation at 10% tornado probability, with tornado…
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA — The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Moderate Risk designation for central and eastern Oklahoma today, driven by an extreme gorilla hail threat and the potential for EF2 or stronger tornadoes across the region. This marks the highest hail risk issued by the SPC since the agency rolled out its…
GULF AND CARIBBEAN REGION — With a strong El Niño pattern expected to dominate this summer, historical comparisons drawn from the five strongest El Niño years versus the five strongest La Niña years reveal a dramatic difference in Atlantic hurricane activity, pointing toward a relatively quieter season ahead for the Gulf Coast, Caribbean, and Florida….
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SURROUNDING REGION — A deeply concerning atmospheric signal is emerging ahead of Monday’s severe weather event, as CWASP numbers are forecast to reach 80-85 across southern Illinois and neighboring areas. This is a significant and alarming threshold given that 75% of all EF2-EF5 tornadoes on record have occurred when CWASP values exceed…
INDIANA — A round of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms is expected to develop across a large portion of Indiana this afternoon and evening, with the primary hazard being damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and small hail possible in the stronger storms. The threat window runs from Noon through 9:00 PM EDT today,…
ARKLАТEX AND SURROUNDING REGION — The Weather Channel TORCON index has been upgraded to 4 across the ArkLaTex region today, covering a core zone centered around Texarkana, Shreveport, Tyler, and Dallas as tornado and hail threats intensify across the south-central United States. The TORCON drops to 3 across Central Mississippi including Jackson, and sits at…
IOWA, ILLINOIS, AND MISSOURI — A severe weather outbreak is increasingly likely next Monday through Monday night across a large portion of the Midwest, with the threat corridor now pushing further northwest than earlier anticipated. A strong shortwave trough will overspread a moist and unstable warm sector early Monday, with storms likely initiating early in…
EAST TEXAS — The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded parts of East and Northeast Texas to an Enhanced Risk for severe weather later today Friday April 25, 2026, as storms are expected to develop across Southeast Oklahoma this afternoon before growing into a larger mesoscale convective complex and pushing south into East Texas during the…